Death of a World Order :: By Matt Ward

I often wonder about Job, and his amazing resilience. I wonder how I would react if the calamities that afflicted him came upon me. To accumulate such great wealth, status and comfort and have it all reduced to nothing in such quick fashion, and then have your loved ones taken away from you in such a devastating manner – it must have been truly crushing.

I wouldn’t have the resolve or fortitude of Job; I think few would. Yet today, we are all of us like Job, exactly like him. We stand on the brink right now and almost nobody knows it. Many people today have accumulated great wealth and material comfort; and more than at any other time past, it can all be reduced in short order to nothing. We all take everything for granted, even our precious loved ones. Even they can be taken away from us.

Very soon our world will be filled with men and women just like Job. People who have never known the pain of overwhelming and complete systemic loss. People who will very quickly be plunged into the most extreme circumstances of loss imaginable.

This is because our current global system is already effectively dead. Right now, we await the emergence of a new global order, a one-world system of governance and control. Something serious has gone wrong with our current world order, and it now stands on the verge of total collapse.

This is no mere hyperbole either. There is a feeling, just a sense perhaps, that the masses are finally beginning to realize this, even if only at a subconscious level. There is a deep feeling of unease wherever one chooses to look; it permeates all our societies from the Middle East to Russia, from North America to South America and throughout Western Europe. And with this unease there is a tangible sense of societal failure, of betrayal and even foreboding over what might yet be in the not-too-distant future.

Stable world orders that last for prolonged periods of time are rare things indeed. Our current world order, now about 73 years old, arose from a period of intense convulsion and violence caused by the Second World War. Over a hundred million people died in the process of birthing our current world order. New world orders never arise out of calm, but from the ruin of destruction and chaos.

Maintaining any kind of stable world order for any length of time requires skillful diplomacy and statecraft, as world orders are made and maintained; they do not just suddenly appear. If they are not maintained and managed effectively with creative diplomacy, with functioning national and transnational institutions to hold them up, and creative, effective decision-making at just the right time to avert crisis, global systems eventually break down and fail. This is where we stand today.

Our global system is breaking down and failing right before our eyes. Millions upon millions are still living their lives under the false daily presupposition that the way things are today is the way things will always be in the future, both for themselves and their children. This viewpoint could not be more wrong. Our current global system is fragmenting before our very eyes. Our way of life, that so many take for granted, has already broken up into a thousand little pieces. If you listen closely enough, you can even hear its death knell sounding.

It is no feat of extraordinary prognostication to say such things either. All world orders come to an end eventually. It is an inevitability of all history. Ours will be no different. What is not in any way inevitable though is what comes in the wake of a collapsed world order. There is no guarantee that one world order will move seamlessly, and peacefully, into the next. What is more likely is that there will be another intense period of convulsion and violence before another world order is birthed.

It is becoming increasingly clear that we are even now heading into another period of extreme chaos. It strikes me as being highly unlikely that we will experience a period of peaceful transition into the next world order. In history I can think of few such examples ever occurring.

Everything in our global system is linked and intertwined. And I do mean everything. The financial system, supply chains, transportation, food, oil production, the electrical grid, nuclear power… everything. When one system fails, it all fails; and the crash, if one is to occur in our global system, will not be a slow one as in previous world-system crashes like the Roman Empire that fell over a century or more. Ours will be an epic fast crash.

The interconnectivity of our global system ensures it. The interconnected nature of our world, which enables worldwide business and trade, which in turn generates such huge profits, has not made our world system strong; it has made it incredibly fragile and brittle. If just one element in the complex system fails, all other systems crash too.

Consider this realistic feedback-loop crash. Think about our dependence on oil. When oil prices rise, so does everything else, simply because all things are connected to oil in some way. So, oil prices rise, slowly at first but then very quickly. Food prices then rise in step with the oil-price rises. The high price of oil begins to drive many businesses into bankruptcy, which leads in turn to a failure in the financial system leading to a collapse in belief in the monetary system. This then leads into societal revolt which ultimately collapses governments.

But even that scenario, bad as it is, would not be the end of the matter. It would get even worse from there. Oil prices, which caused this hypothetical fast crash through high prices, would then experience a price crash because demand would fall to zero. All drilling would then stop, and new exploration projects would end, meaning that in likewise fashion all other connected businesses and industries would stop, and the worldwide economy would crash again. A double whammy.

It would be a domino crash, with one system bringing down the next, and the next, and so on until all that is left is chaos. And this is just one example of many. It could happen in a thousand different ways. What is important is that it will certainly happen.

But are there any indications of this happening today, or even soon? Well, the short answer is yes, there are. There are very real parallels between where our global civilization is today and those of the past, especially to the global system that existed in the mid-nineteenth century during the Concert of Europe period.

This period saw the most sustained efforts up until that time at building and maintaining a truly global world order, until the modern day. From 1815 until the outbreak of the First World War a little under a hundred years later, this period saw the first real multinational effort to define international relationships through global law and order, and attempted to set basic norms for international conduct between countries. It was the precursor to our own current United Nations-led world system.

And it failed catastrophically in 1914 with the outbreak of the “war to end all wars.” The crucial lesson for our generation today lies in the way this world system failed, not in the fact that it did so. The Concert of Europe’s increasing failure and demise had become apparent long before it actually came crashing down but, crucially, world leaders and decision makers failed to recognize that simple fact. This meant that the decline was managed poorly, and that led directly to the calamity and carnage of the First World War.

And this is exactly what we are seeing today. We are witness to an ever-growing distrust both within nations and especially between them. Civil war is even openly discussed in the United States today as a potentially realistic outcome of the entrenched partisanship of a current US political system that has divided US society.

There is chaos and bloodshed everywhere one chooses to look. In the Middle East, there is no end in sight to the undeclared war between Israel and her blood-sworn enemies Hamas and Hezbollah. Iran is resurgent and increasingly bellicose. Syria is still in the grips of a civil war and is now a ruined land, and Iraq is as unstable today as it has ever been in its history.

In Turkey, Recep Erdogan has transformed a once pro-West country into an increasingly Islamized one, and an increasingly anti-Israel one too. Asia is riven by tension, as China seeks to reassert itself globally as the world leader that will usurp the United States’ place over the coming decade. This strain can be seen daily in the ongoing tensions in the South China Seas.

Russia’s actions in the Ukraine have clearly signposted Vladimir Putin’s global ambitions, as has his increasingly vice-like grip on Syria and the wider Middle-East region.

Europe is reeling from one crisis to another – mass migration that is reshaping the very fabric of the continent, the chaos and uncertainty being caused by Brexit and a clearly dysfunctional UK government, and one episode of terrorism after another.

And what guarantees the rapidly approaching demise of this world order? What makes it a certainty is that America’s traditional dominance in international affairs is rapidly coming to an end, and it is leaving a huge vacuum in its wake. Into that vacuum, a flood of rogue transnational terrorist groups, rogue nation states and wannabe global superpowers have come, all now fighting for the crumbs falling from the US table, positioning themselves to be the ones that will take over when US power really does start to wane.

The United States’ traditional global power and influence is starting to diffuse, which is why we are seeing the power and the influence of the United States being constantly challenged now like never before. This is because these other groups – transnational non-state actors, rogue regimes and wannabe global superpowers like China – are seeking to determine how much will the United States really have to maintain, and uphold, the current order. And their conclusion is: not much.

Crucially, none of the current world leaders or decision-makers today seem to recognize these simple facts. This is likely because the consequences of this actually happening are too awful for many of them to seriously contemplate.

But it will, and all we are waiting for is the crisis that will start the freefall. At this point, after watching for so long, I believe today more strongly than ever that the trigger will be the imminent rapture of the Church.

But the really pertinent question now is: exactly who or what will come forward to take over and run the world when it emerges from the coming chaos?

The antichrist will.  Keep looking up.

wardmatt1977@gmail.com

 

The Beating Drums of War :: By Matt Ward

Israel is facing a multi-spectrum war in the very near future. While the West has largely been distracted, Iran, Hezbollah and Russia have been busy over the past six months cementing their positions in Syria, readying themselves for what is fast becoming an inevitable confrontation with Israel. At this point, it is not a question of “if” but “when” war will come to the Middle East.

Yet, strangely talk of “peace” will not be quieted. Both Jared Kushner and President Donald Trump are still addressing closed-off meetings, garnishing support for the much-anticipated US-led peace plan. At point of writing, the assumption is that this peace plan will be presented later this year, possibly “after the Israeli” elections, which would be later on in the second half of 2019. And the air is full of talk of “concessions” being needed from “both sides.”

Despite this talk of concessions, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu has not dismissed the suggestion of this peace plan out of hand, but seemingly remains open to its possibilities. He said, “We wait and see what the final plan will look like. It will be presented after the Israeli elections – as you can imagine, that takes up a little bit of my time right now. I don’t think that any of us should reject the plan and reject this initiative by the American administration before it’s even presented.”

Netanyahu went on to say, “If we make progress and indeed a formal peace with the Palestinians, it would help enormously in the Arab world, and I would say with parts of the Muslim world; but I think it is equally true that the normalization of relations with the Arab world also helps achieve peace with the Palestinians, and I’m happy to say that there’s progress on that.”

Yet, amidst the continued talk of “peace,” what we actually see in the Middle East is frantic preparations for war. On Israeli’s southern and northern borders, war is only a hair’s breadth away.

Hezbollah, Israel’s implacable and blood-avowed enemy from Lebanon, north of Israel, are now resurgent in Syria and have been working hard on converting their Zel Zal 2 medium range missiles into precision-guided missile systems. Of the 14,000 missiles they currently have, at least 250 have so far been upgraded and converted into precision-guided cruise missiles.

Hezbollah is striving to develop its precision-guided missile technology, and there can only be one immediate target for that technology: Israel. At the moment, 250 upgraded missiles would not constitute enough to fight a war with Israel, but it is a very good start, and as clear an indication as is needed of their intention for war.

Considering the density of population in the Israeli heartland, if only a few of these missiles got through the Israeli defenses, or were not shot down by the IDF, the devastation they could cause would be shocking. As, no doubt, would be the Israeli retaliation.

Yet, the missile threat now facing Israel does not end there. Iran themselves are a growing and increasingly significant threat. On February 2nd, the new Iranian designed and built Hoveizeh cruise missile was tested. This is a medium-range cruise missile designed specifically for attacking Israel. It is clear that Iran has a growing determination to use them. This Hoveizah missile has a reliable range exceeding 1,200 km, which just so happens to also be the exact distance from Iran to Israel.

This Iranian cruise missile is different from all others that have come before it. Unlike other missiles produced by the Islamic Republic, where defensive countermeasures do exist, this low-flying missile flies underneath radar to its target, thus enabling Iran to claim, with some justification, that neither the United States nor Israel have any credible defense against this specific threat.

They are likely right in that assumption as up to this point there is no military in the world that has been able to develop a consistently reliable means of intercepting cruise-missile technology, including the United States of America.

This missile represents a grave threat to the Jewish State. One can only assume that the only thing keeping this from Israel right now is the international condemnation using such a weapon would bring, and the enormous retaliation Israel would undoubtedly bring to bear on Iran should they dare launch even one at the Israeli heartland.

There is no benefit at this point in playing down the growing threat to Israel; the Hozeizeh represents a powerful new weapon in the Iranian armory, and at present there is nothing Israel or her allies can do to counter it.

Additionally, Iran has been heavily lobbying Russia to extend its formidable S-300 air-defense systems over Lebanon and southern Syria. The reason for this is that such a system would dramatically increase cover for Hezbollah’s own precision-missile programs. To this effect, Moscow has recently announced that it has begun the process of actually training Syria crews in the operation of these S-300 batteries, training that is predicted to be completed by mid to late March.

The developing situation in Iraq does not look much better. In Iraq – not often talked about these days amidst the backdrop of a ruined Syria – Iran is utterly dominant, having finally succeeded in creating a land bridge through to the Middle East. At this point, Iranian forces are moving, almost uninhibited, through Iraq to take up positions almost directly against the Israeli border in northern and eastern Syria. To deflect international attention from this obvious provocation, Russia has been jumping on the Palestinian issue as international “cover” for these Iranian movements, successfully drawing attention away from Iran and back onto Israel.

It is also worth noting that there is no doubt that the recent announcement by the US of its forthcoming troop withdrawal in Syria has, without question, benefited both Iran and Hezbollah. Intelligence has already confirmed that Iran has been redeploying its forces, regrouping them in northern and eastern Syria. This can only be so that they can take immediate advantage of the US withdrawal and so extend their strategic depth deep into Syria, increasing the stranglehold on this ruined Middle Eastern nation.

War is coming to the Middle East between Iran and Israel. There seems to be an inevitability to it at this point. In order for war between Israel, Iran and her proxies to be prevented, it is absolutely essential that Israel is able to develop a stable deterrence to their actions in Syria.

Israel simply has not been able to do so. In fact, they haven’t even come close to developing a coherent deterrence to the Iranian threat in the Syrian theater. The downing last year by Syria of a Russian transport aircraft with the loss of a number of active Russian servicemen, and the subsequently hostile Russian reaction (blaming Israel) has fundamentally changed the environment for Israel, effectively tying Israel’s hands behind her back.

Equally, a second key component part in the prevention of regional war lies in Israel’s ability to make explicitly clear, and then be able to fully enforce, what her “red lines” are. At present, while everybody seems to know what Israel’s “red lines” are, the menacing presence of Russia in Syria, and Russia’s overt support for Iran and her proxies like Hezbollah has meant that, frankly, nobody cares about Israel’s declared “red lines” anymore.

Where there is no deterrence for war, war often becomes an inevitability. The truth is that Iran and Hezbollah feel emboldened in their opposition to Israel. On February 23rd, Iran’s National Security Advisor, Ali Shamkhani, decided to take the extraordinary step of publically publishing, and then commenting on, Iran’s foreign policy goal of toppling Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu.

Iran has even gone so far as to openly acknowledge that they intend to do this through war.

Moscow is also no longer masking its true intentions in the Middle East. Ahead of the recent visit to Russia by Netanyahu, Moscow revealed that its loyalty now lies exclusively with Hezbollah, whom they believe is a “force for stability and security” in the region.

Vladimir Putin is simply not interested in hearing reports from Netanyahu about the misdemeanors of Hezbollah, and has no time for talk of their military buildup in Syria opposite to the Israeli border. This deepening Russian attitude towards the Shiite Lebanese group comes after a direct face-to-face meeting between Vladimir Putin (Russia), Hassan Rouhani (Iran) and President Tayyip Erdogan (Turkey) at the Black Sea resort of Sochi on February 14th. The discussions centered on two discussion points: Israel and Syria. It would seem to me that Israel’s enemies, as predicted long ago in scripture, are indeed now taking counsel together, actively preparing to invade an un-walled land to take a “plunder.”

Russia is not even attempting to hide these intentions anymore. Russia has revealed that its support for Hezbollah and Iran’s buildup in Syria is expressly because of Lebanon’s energy and gas supplies. Russian energy giant, Rosneft, has just signed a 20-plus year contract for the exclusive management of the oil and gas fields in northern Lebanon. And because of this, they are very soon expected, with full Russian backing, to claim that the recently discovered Israeli Leviathan gas fields belong to them, and not Israel.  And now they have the full weight and might of Russia backing up that claim.

We are on the brink of the prophesied war of Gog and Magog. I have always viewed this war as a post- rapture event because it is about the time of this war that God once again begins to turn His face back to his ancient inheritance, Israel. Whether this is right or wrong, it is looking increasingly likely that we will not have too long to wait to determine whether this confrontation really does take place after the Gentile age has concluded or not, because this war is going to happen soon. Really soon.

Keep looking up.

wardmatt1977@gmail.com